湖人报告:在四分之一赛季后的个人评级

发布:STOKES 时间:2018-12-03 18:14 阅读:336 点击收藏

作者:Brian Kamenetzky
译者:LamY
校对:小A&邦邦

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【本文谨代表作者个人观点,望周知】

我相信不止我一个人,在赛季初已预计到湖人能在赛季前20场达到50%的胜率。现在他们已经11胜9负,不过一提起这一过程,就有点像坐过山车般刺激。湖人以2胜5负开局,接着又取得9胜2负,然后在上两场分别输给了奥兰多魔术和丹佛掘金。

湖人在提速进攻效率和全场防守方面依然挣扎,主教练卢克·沃顿周三对此问题做出回应道:“这是一项不断进行的工作,我们是一个新团队,我们还在互相不断了解。我们正展望,准备发掘出真正的自我,去发现什么才是对球队最好的。”

这或许就是乔尔·恩比德所说的“过程”。

让我们公平点来假设(尤指我的公平标准),以一支球队来看,湖人评分可以来达到B-或C+。现在的阵容并不是要快速地取得成功,一旦抛掉勒布朗·詹姆斯的加成,他们在短期内还要很多需要不断完善的方面。这的确需要一定的过程,所以这一切也是在预料之中。

除此,我们还准备了球队报告,同样也有个人报告。赛季已经过了四分之一,湖人会希望安排谁上场,谁又能抓住机会,在自己父母面前表现一番。

注意:所有的分数都是基于对每一个球员的合理期望(再次强调,指我个人)。

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勒布朗·詹姆斯:

虽然在周二比赛中哑火,但詹姆斯丰富的比赛经验正如我们所知道的,原始数据固然可靠,但数据分析也是如此。赛季初经历了人们质疑他忍耐极限的压力后,随着球队在比赛里取得的进步,詹姆斯也慢慢适应了。詹姆斯不会82场比赛都给出高强度防守,而这也是他唯一对时光老人做出的让步。但他最后会更好地控制自己,不过看起来还没那么快。最终评级:A

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贾维尔·麦基

我很确定埃尔塞贡多的实习生都能比麦基赚的更多。好吧,也许没那么夸张,但也差不离了,在每美元的产出中,湖人或其他任何一支队都能从除麦基身外得到的更多。生涯场均新高12.7分,命中率达62.6%,盖帽成功率8.9%也是生涯新高,接近职业最佳的PER值,全队最好的防守效率,全队最好的进攻效率。进攻和防守正负值分列第二,不过在我们心中肯定是第一。最终评级:A。

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约什·哈特

当然,对他有不同的标准(缺少成为真正球星的期望),但无论如何,湖人对他要求的每一件事,哈特都做到了。在湖人的3分射手群中,哈特以每分钟3次领先全队,每场4.6次出手在队里排到第三,总的来说他是最稳定的。哈特能和各种身形的球员进行身体对抗(尤其更大只的前锋),这也能帮助球队在场上扭转局势。从技术上讲,他并不算湖人历史上排名前列的双枪组合成员,尤其单纯以效率值评价,不过现在看来这很有可能成为事实。唯一真正让人担心的是上周脚踝的伤势限制了他的发挥。最终评级:B +
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泰森·钱德勒

他能贡献所有你对一名18年经验的老将能贡献的期望,但数据并不重要,更重要的是他在场上的作用。正因有了钱德勒,湖人再也不用每次在麦基下场时排出死亡小个阵容。有了更多的选择后,卢克·沃顿能够更好地提升球队的防守和篮板。与钱德勒的签约不仅提升了球队实力,还解决了目前球队最大的问题之一。最终评级:B

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拉简·隆多

他的领导力和沟通能力(还能始终保持42.9%的三分命中率)是无价的,球队的比赛运转也因为他的缺席而受到了影响。在隆多因手伤缺席的6场比赛里,相对于湖人前14场的场均26次助攻,湖人如今只有场均18.67次助攻(14场包括隆多因禁赛缺席的三场,我也只能计算到这个程度),随之下降的还有比赛速度和进攻效率。接下来他还有更多的比赛要打。最终评级:B-/C+

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兰斯·斯蒂芬森

虽然他在球队里并不是最积极的那位,但斯蒂芬森的远射(38%命中率,生涯最佳)和进攻端表现以及效率几乎和以往一样好,他的能量和板凳席得分在有时候会很有用。我怀疑在斯蒂芬森上场时,尤其是球队在11月表现回暖时,湖人教练团队会有种不安的感觉,湖人球迷们也会担心他出现什么灾难性的操作,但总的来说,他在湖人的前20场比赛比我预想中的要好。毕竟在一场比赛上场16分钟,没有人会做过头。最终评级:B-/C+

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布兰登·英格拉姆

很多言论提到当勒布朗下场时,英格拉姆的表现得到了很大的提升。但这一组合的效率在过去10场比赛里已经提升了很多,并且还会越来越好。英格拉姆需要适应现在以詹姆斯为主要持球和得分点,以及他们失去了上赛季对他成长至关重要的大个子的阵容。他在场上的表现看起来不一样了,至少部分原因是10-16尺距离的投篮增加了,而篮筐终结效率下降了。尽管身边环境发生了变化,但英格拉姆每分钟数据与一年前并没有太大的不同。没有明显的进步,也没有惊人的下降,同时还要做些对当初韦德来说也很困难的事情。虽然数据显示他还没能成为一名持续高产高效的NBA球星,但他依然潜力无限。为了湖人的复兴,他还任重而道远。

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郎佐·鲍尔

我基本上已经放弃了寻找更多资料,我也不知道他是否变得越来越好。一方面来说,他的投射在这赛季得到了提升。这是他成为一名真正独一无二的球员的最佳时刻,但当褪去鲍尔这层表现后,我们还得看得更加深入。最近,他在攻防转换时表现得更加稳定(竖起大拇指),但就像The Athletic的记者Pete Zayas表达出的不满那样,这些也暴露出了鲍尔在基本功上的各种缺陷(紧张地用拇指拉着领子)。这是我最担心的事情,郎佐对篮球训练的风格和态度都是很独特的,他也一直在与这两者相适应的球队打球。但是,我们有理由怀疑,他的老师(可能是拉瓦尔)是否对细节一丝不苟。我的回答是“不”,这意味着要达到NBA级别还有很多需要学习的东西,这并不容易。我很佩服某些人,能够有勇气大声且很有自信地说这不需要3年而只需要3个月。最终评级:C

肯塔维厄斯·考德威尔·波普

上赛季,湖人队花的那1800万美元获益颇丰——考德威尔·波普在投篮和三分球方面创了职业生涯新高。1200万美元显然买不到这么多。而KCP如今正在创造职业生涯最差的36.4%的投篮命中率,31.4%的三分命中率也几乎是生涯最差。本月早些时候,曾有一段时间,KCP似乎出现了转机,但好景不长。他最近三场比赛的20次出手里投丢16次,包括一次在斯台普斯主场对阵奥兰多的比赛中可以致胜的机会。不过他在防守端也有不错的表现,95%的罚球命中率也让他赢得了一些喜爱,但总的来说,他表现得一般。最终评级:D+

其他

伊维察·祖巴茨、乔纳森·威廉姆斯、迈克尔·比斯利、斯维亚托斯拉夫·米哈伊柳克,他们的表现还不足以评价。但是斯维亚托斯拉夫·米哈伊柳克已经很接近了,他看起来在新秀赛已经超出你对于一个末位二轮秀的期望。祖巴茨在队内的作用比他的实际表现更能说明他的发展。在钱德勒加盟之前,威廉姆斯有几场比赛的表现值得称赞。
(本文仅代表作者个人的观点)

原文:

Lakers Report Card: Individual grades at the season’s quarter pole

Brian Kamenetzky

I wasn’t the only one heading into the season who figured the Lakers could be a .500 team 20 games into the season. At 11-9, that’s basically where they are. How they got here, though, has been a bit of a roller coaster. A 2-5 start, followed by a 9-2 run, punctuated by a second loss to the Orlando Magic and a blowout in Denver.

The Lakers have struggled to find that sweet spot in pace, offensive production and defensive integrity. “It’s a work in progress. This is a new group, and we’re all figuring each other out, still. So it’s what we envisioned it being. (Finding) what the reality of who we are is, and finding what works best for our group,” head coach Luke Walton said Wednesday in El Segundo.

Joel Embiid might call it a process.

Measured against fair-minded assumptions (specifically my fair-minded assumptions), the Lakers as a team have earned a solid B-. Maybe a C+. They’ve had to cover a lot of ground in a short amount of time, with a roster not exactly curated for instant success, once you get past the adding LeBron James part. It is a work in progress, as it should have been expected.

But there are team report cards, and then the same for individuals. At the quarter pole, which Lakers will want to post theirs on the fridge, and who might want to snatch his from the mailbox before mom and dad get a look?

Note: All grades are issued based on reasonable expectations (again, mine) for each player heading into the season.

LeBron James

Tuesday’s dud notwithstanding, The LeBron Experience has been as advertised. The raw numbers are rock solid, as are the analytics. And after some early tension when people questioned just how patient he was capable of being, James has settled in as the team has made progress on the court. James doesn’t give you 82 games of high end defense anymore, but that’s really his only concession to Father Time. He’ll eventually get a firmer grip on LeBron, but not anytime soon, it appears. GRADE: A

JaVale McGee

I’m fairly sure there are interns in El Segundo earning more than McGee. OK, maybe not, but it’s hard to conceive of the Lakers, or any team for that matter, getting more production-per-dollar than what McGee has provided. A career-high 12.7 points per game on 62.6 percent from the floor. A career-high block percentage of 8.9. A near high in PER, the best defensive rating on the team, the best offensive rating on the team. Second in offensive and defensive box plus-minus, first in our hearts. GRADE: A

Josh Hart

Granted, he’s held to a different standard (no expectations of genuine stardom), but regardless, everything the Lakers have asked of him, Hart has provided. Of their volume 3-point shooters — Hart leads the team in triples-per-minute and is third on a nightly basis with 4.6 attempts per game — he’s the most consistent. Hart’s ability to body up on any player of any size (especially larger forwards) has helped turn the tide on that side of the floor. He’s technically not part of every top two-man group the Lakers have, measured by net rating, but it sure seems that way. The only real concern is an ankle injury limiting him over the last week. GRADE: B+

Tyson Chandler

He’s provided everything you could expect from an 18-year veteran. But it’s less about his play than his presence. With Chandler, the Lakers no longer have to run out small lineups every time McGee leaves the floor. Armed with options, Luke Walton has been able to shore up the team’s defense and rebounding. They upgraded personnel with Chandler’s signing while eliminating one of the team’s biggest problems. GRADE: B

Rajon Rondo

His leadership and communication skills (along with a wholly unsustainable 42.9 percent mark from downtown) have been invaluable, and the team’s ball movement has suffered with him out of the lineup. In the six games Rondo has missed with a broken hand, the Lakers have averaged 18.67 assists vs. 26 in the 14 previous. (That includes the three Rondo missed while suspended, but I’m only willing to do so much math.) Pace and offensive efficiency have plummeted, as well. Rondo has missed almost half the team’s games, with more to come. GRADE: B-/C+

Lance Stephenson

While he hasn’t exactly been an overwhelmingly positive force overall, Stephenson is hitting from distance (38 percent, just off his career best) and generally playing offense about as efficiently as he’s ever done it. His energy and scoring off the bench have been handy at times. I suspect the coaching staff also gets that queasy feeling of possible disaster felt by many Lakers fans when Stephenson plays — November trends indicate a regression to the mean — but overall his first 20 games as a Laker have been better than I expected. And at 16 minutes a game, nobody is overdoing it. GRADE: B-/C+

Brandon Ingram

A lot has been made of how Ingram’s output jumps with LeBron off the floor, but the net rating of that combo has improved over the last 10 games and should continue getting better. Ingram has had to adjust to a roster featuring James as a primary ball handler and scorer, as well as the loss of bigs critical to the spacing that allowed him to thrive last season. The floor looks different, at least partially explaining the increase in shots from 10-16 feet and diminished efficiency at the rim. But despite the shift in context, Ingram’s per-minute numbers aren’t crazy different than a year ago. No marked improvement, no scary decline, while doing something that was also hard for Dwyane Wade. Ingram remains, all at once, a pile of obvious potential with numbers showing he’s yet to be a consistently productive and efficient NBA player. For the Lakers to thrive, he needs to be better. GRADE: C+

Lonzo Ball

I’ve basically given up trying to find comps, nor do I have a real handle on whether he’s getting better or not. On the one hand, his shooting has improved this season. His best moments point to a genuinely unique player, but they have to be found between stretches where Ball fades into the wallpaper.

Recently, he’s been attacking opposing defenses with much more consistency (thumbs up), but as this great breakdown from The Athletic’s Pete Zayas shows, those drives have also revealed all sorts of flaws in Ball’s fundamentals (nervously pulls on collar with thumb). This, more than anything, is the stuff I find alarming. Lonzo’s basketball training was incredibly specific in terms of style and ethic, and he always played on teams tailored to both. But it’s fair to wonder if his teacher (that would be LaVar) was a stickler for the details. I’m going with “no,” meaning there’s a lot of learning to be done at the NBA level, which isn’t easy. I admire the moxie of anyone willing to loudly and confidently predict what it looks like in three months, let alone three years. GRADE: C

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Last season, the Lakers got a ton of mileage from the $18 mil spent on the former Pistons hyphenate, as Caldwell-Pope established career highs in field goal and 3-point shooting. $12 mil clearly doesn’t buy as much. KCP is hitting a career worst 36.4 percent of his shots, and a near-worst 31.4 percent from downtown. There was a stretch earlier this month where it looked like KCP was turning a corner, but it didn’t last. He’s missed 16 of his last 20 shots over three games, including a chance at a game-winner against Orlando at Staples. There have been good moments defensively and a 95-percent mark from the line earns him some love, but overall it’s been ugly. GRADE: D+

Incompletes

Ivica Zubac, Johnathan Williams, Michael Beasley, Svi Mykhailiuk. None of these guys have played enough to merit grading, though Svi comes the closest and has looked overmatched … about what you’d expect from a late second-round pick in his rookie year. That Zubac is in this group says more about his development than his actual play. Williams performed admirably for a couple of games before Chandler came aboard.

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